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San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. San Jose Earthquakes opened and closed as the favorite at 2.04 (+104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Jose Earthquakes 47% → 47%, draw 25% → 23%, Portland Timbers 29% → 29%. The Asian handicap held at San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 35 h 55 min before kickoff: San Jose Earthquakes went from 45% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Jose Earthquakes2.04 (+104)2.04 (+104)
Draw3.88 (+288)4.16 (+316)
Portland Timbers3.29 (+229)3.30 (+230)
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%30%42%54%San Jose Earthquakes 47%Draw 23%Portland Timbers 29%
Asian handicap · San Jose Earthquakes
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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