Oct 7, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Bragantino opened as the favorite at 1.82 (-122) and shortened to 1.71 (-140). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bragantino 52% → 56%, draw 25% → 24%, Mirassol 23% → 20%. The Asian handicap moved from Bragantino -0.5 to Bragantino -0.75. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Bragantino went from 61% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Bragantino
1.82 (-122)
1.71 (-140)
Draw
3.83 (+283)
4.03 (+303)
Mirassol
4.18 (+318)
4.87 (+387)
Asian handicap
Bragantino -0.5 · 1.83 (-121)
Bragantino -0.75 · 1.93 (-108)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Bragantino
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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