Oct 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Cruzeiro opened as the favorite at 1.88 (-114) and shortened to 1.87 (-115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cruzeiro 51% → 52%, draw 27% → 27%, Sao Paulo 23% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Cruzeiro -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 30 min before kickoff: Cruzeiro went from 49% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Cruzeiro
1.88 (-114)
1.87 (-115)
Draw
3.58 (+258)
3.60 (+260)
Sao Paulo
4.20 (+320)
4.50 (+350)
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
Cruzeiro -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)
O/U 2.5 · over 2.04 (+104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Cruzeiro
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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