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Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro — odds movement

Oct 8, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Athletico Paranaense opened as the favorite at 2.12 (+112) and shortened to 2.10 (+110). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Athletico Paranaense 45% → 46%, draw 30% → 28%, Atletico Mineiro 25% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from Athletico Paranaense -0.25 to Athletico Paranaense -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 9 h 55 min before kickoff: Athletico Paranaense went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Athletico Paranaense2.12 (+112)2.10 (+110)
Draw3.20 (+220)3.42 (+242)
Atletico Mineiro3.79 (+279)3.77 (+277)
Asian handicapAthletico Paranaense -0.25 · 1.81 (-123)Athletico Paranaense -0.5 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.04 (+104)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%31%41%51%Athletico Paranaense 46%Draw 28%Atletico Mineiro 26%
Asian handicap · Athletico Paranaense
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.5

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