Oct 7, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Vasco da Gama opened as the favorite at 2.49 (+149) and shortened to 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Botafogo FR RJ 35% → 32%, draw 27% → 26%, Vasco da Gama 38% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Botafogo FR RJ 0 to Botafogo FR RJ +0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 26 h 30 min before kickoff: Vasco da Gama went from 37% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Botafogo FR RJ
2.76 (+176)
3.06 (+206)
Draw
3.54 (+254)
3.69 (+269)
Vasco da Gama
2.49 (+149)
2.30 (+130)
Asian handicap
Botafogo FR RJ 0 · 2.03 (+103)
Botafogo FR RJ +0.25 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)
O/U 3 · over 2.04 (+104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Botafogo FR RJ
Total (over/under)
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