Oct 8, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.84 (-119) and shortened to 1.81 (-123). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos 23% → 23%, draw 25% → 24%, Flamengo 52% → 53%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos +0.5 to Santos +0.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Santos
4.12 (+312)
4.26 (+326)
Draw
3.77 (+277)
4.04 (+304)
Flamengo
1.84 (-119)
1.81 (-123)
Asian handicap
Santos +0.5 · 2.01 (+101)
Santos +0.75 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Santos
Total (over/under)
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