Saitama Seibu Lions vs Orix Buffaloes — odds movement
Sep 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 228 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 228 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 15 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-178) and shortened to 1.45 (-221). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Saitama Seibu Lions 62% → 67%, Orix Buffaloes 38% → 33%. The run line held at Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before first pitch: Orix Buffaloes went from 35% to 33% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Saitama Seibu Lions | 1.56 (-178) | 1.45 (-221) |
| Orix Buffaloes | 2.56 (+156) | 2.90 (+190) |
| run line | Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.26 (+126) | Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.04 (+104) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 6.5 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).