Chicago Fire vs New York City — odds movement
Oct 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM ET · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 30 min before kickoff. Chicago Fire opened as the favorite at 1.81 (-123) and drifted to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chicago Fire 52% → 49%, draw 24% → 24%, New York City 24% → 27%. The Asian handicap held at Chicago Fire -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 11 h 25 min before kickoff: Chicago Fire went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Chicago Fire | 1.81 (-123) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Draw | 3.98 (+298) | 3.95 (+295) |
| New York City | 3.98 (+298) | 3.64 (+264) |
| Asian handicap | Chicago Fire -0.5 · 1.83 (-121) | Chicago Fire -0.5 · 1.98 (-102) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111) | O/U 3 · over 1.86 (-116) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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