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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New York Red Bulls vs St Louis City SC — odds movement

Sep 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 331 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 331 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 27 h 55 min before kickoff. St Louis City SC opened as the favorite at 1.92 (-109) and shortened to 1.80 (-125). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Red Bulls 28% → 24%, draw 23% → 22%, St Louis City SC 50% → 54%. The Asian handicap moved from New York Red Bulls +0.5 to New York Red Bulls +0.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 13 h 55 min before kickoff: St Louis City SC went from 51% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
New York Red Bulls	3.41 (+241)	4.02 (+302)
Draw	4.22 (+322)	4.31 (+331)
St Louis City SC	1.92 (-109)	1.80 (-125)
Asian handicap	New York Red Bulls +0.5 · 1.93 (-108)	New York Red Bulls +0.75 · 1.89 (-113)
Total	O/U 3.25 · over 1.86 (-116)	O/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · New York Red Bulls

Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

Move timeline · UTC

23:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.92 → 4.02
22:47 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.82 → 3.92
22:47 Asian handicap (New York Red Bulls) +0.5 → +0.75
22:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.77 → 3.82
21:47 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.79 → 3.77
21:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.76 → 3.80
20:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.84 → 3.76
19:17 Asian handicap (New York Red Bulls) +0.75 → +0.5
19:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.81 → 3.85
19:02 Asian handicap (New York Red Bulls) +0.5 → +0.75
17:57 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.83 → 3.79
17:27 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.86 → 3.83
17:27 Asian handicap (New York Red Bulls) +0.75 → +0.5
16:12 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.78 → 3.88
16:12 Asian handicap (New York Red Bulls) +0.5 → +0.75
15:57 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.65 → 3.78
14:57 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.60 → 3.65
14:27 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.59 → 3.61
14:12 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.61 → 3.59
13:57 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.59 → 3.61
12:07 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.57 → 3.60
11:37 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.55 → 3.57
11:07 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.52 → 3.55
10:22 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.47 → 3.51
10:07 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.33 → 3.47
09:37 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.58 → 3.32
09:22 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.55 → 3.58
08:37 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.59 → 3.55
08:07 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.56 → 3.59
06:52 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.46 → 3.57
02:02 New York Red Bulls moneyline 3.41 → 3.45

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).