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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters — odds movement

Sep 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 241 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 241 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 50 min before first pitch. Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-165) and shortened to 1.59 (-170). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 40% → 39%, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 60% → 61%. The run line held at Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles2.45 (+145)2.49 (+149)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters1.61 (-165)1.59 (-170)
run lineTohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 · 1.72 (-138)Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 · 1.79 (-127)
TotalO/U 5.5 · over 1.69 (-145)O/U 6.5 · over 1.77 (-130)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
34%45%55%66%Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 39%Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 61%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total (over/under)
5.56.55.5 → 6.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).