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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Fukuoka Softbank Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement

Sep 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 243 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 243 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 50 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.45 (-223) and drifted to 1.49 (-206). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 67% → 65%, Saitama Seibu Lions 33% → 35%. The run line held at Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 7.5 to 7.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.45 (-223)1.49 (-206)
Saitama Seibu Lions2.92 (+192)2.79 (+179)
run lineFukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 1.92 (-109)Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 7.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 7 · over 1.76 (-132)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%42%58%73%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 65%Saitama Seibu Lions 35%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
77.57.5 → 7

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).