Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons — odds movement
Sep 4, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 242 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 242 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 50 min before first pitch. Chunichi Dragons opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-127) and shortened to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Yakult Swallows 46% → 45%, Chunichi Dragons 54% → 55%. The run line held at Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 8 to 7.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 2.13 (+113) | 2.15 (+115) |
| Chunichi Dragons | 1.79 (-127) | 1.77 (-130) |
| run line | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.65 (-154) | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.65 (-154) |
| Total | O/U 8 · over 2.13 (+113) | O/U 7.5 · over 2.05 (+105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).