Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 211 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 211 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 50 min before first pitch. Chunichi Dragons opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-132) and drifted to 1.86 (-116). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Yakult Swallows 45% → 48%, Chunichi Dragons 55% → 52%. The run line held at Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 7.5. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before first pitch: Tokyo Yakult Swallows went from 44% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 2.17 (+117) | 2.03 (+103) |
| Chunichi Dragons | 1.76 (-132) | 1.86 (-116) |
| run line | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.66 (-151) | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.61 (-164) |
| Total | O/U 7.5 · over 2.04 (+104) | O/U 7.5 · over 2.06 (+106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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