Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicao — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 340 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 340 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 25 min before kickoff. Famalicao opened as the favorite at 2.45 (+145) and drifted to 2.56 (+156). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estrela da Amadora 31% → 32%, draw 31% → 30%, Famalicao 39% → 38%. The Asian handicap moved from Estrela da Amadora +0.25 to Estrela da Amadora 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Famalicao went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Estrela da Amadora | 3.11 (+211) | 3.06 (+206) |
| Draw | 3.12 (+212) | 3.18 (+218) |
| Famalicao | 2.45 (+145) | 2.56 (+156) |
| Asian handicap | Estrela da Amadora +0.25 · 1.78 (-128) | Estrela da Amadora 0 · 2.15 (+115) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.95 (-105) | O/U 2.25 · over 1.97 (-103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).