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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicao — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 340 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 340 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 25 min before kickoff. Famalicao opened as the favorite at 2.45 (+145) and drifted to 2.56 (+156). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estrela da Amadora 31% → 32%, draw 31% → 30%, Famalicao 39% → 38%. The Asian handicap moved from Estrela da Amadora +0.25 to Estrela da Amadora 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Famalicao went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Estrela da Amadora3.11 (+211)3.06 (+206)
Draw3.12 (+212)3.18 (+218)
Famalicao2.45 (+145)2.56 (+156)
Asian handicapEstrela da Amadora +0.25 · 1.78 (-128)Estrela da Amadora 0 · 2.15 (+115)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 2.25 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
29%33%37%40%Estrela da Amadora 32%Draw 30%Famalicao 38%
Asian handicap · Estrela da Amadora
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).