Sep 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 116 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 116 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 30 min before kickoff. Benfica opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-410) and shortened to 1.19 (-527). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Maritimo 9% → 7%, draw 15% → 13%, Benfica 77% → 81%. The Asian handicap moved from Maritimo +1.75 to Maritimo +2. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Maritimo
11.18 (+1018)
14.41 (+1341)
Draw
6.38 (+538)
7.55 (+655)
Benfica
1.24 (-410)
1.19 (-527)
Asian handicap
Maritimo +1.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Maritimo +2 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Maritimo
Total (over/under)
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