Sep 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 277 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 277 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 60 h 55 min before kickoff. Braga opened as the favorite at 1.80 (-125) and shortened to 1.76 (-131). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alverca 21% → 19%, draw 27% → 26%, Braga 53% → 55%. The Asian handicap moved from Alverca +0.5 to Alverca +0.75. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 41 h 10 min before kickoff: Braga went from 55% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Alverca
4.58 (+358)
5.15 (+415)
Draw
3.57 (+257)
3.65 (+265)
Braga
1.80 (-125)
1.76 (-131)
Asian handicap
Alverca +0.5 · 2.06 (+106)
Alverca +0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.82 (-122)
O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Alverca
Total (over/under)
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