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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM JST · 167 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 167 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 14 h 10 min before first pitch. Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters opened as the favorite at 1.73 (-137) and drifted to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 44% → 45%, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 56% → 55%. The run line held at Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 6.5 to 7.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before first pitch: Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles2.21 (+121)2.15 (+115)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters1.73 (-137)1.78 (-129)
run lineTohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 · 1.65 (-153)Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles +1.5 · 1.68 (-146)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 1.69 (-145)O/U 7.5 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
40%47%53%60%Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 45%Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 55%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total (over/under)
6.57.56.5 → 7.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).