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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 257 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 257 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before kickoff. Santa Clara opened as the favorite at 1.88 (-114) and drifted to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santa Clara 51% → 48%, draw 29% → 31%, Rio Ave 20% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Santa Clara -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 9 h 35 min before kickoff: Santa Clara went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Santa Clara1.88 (-114)2.01 (+101)
Draw3.33 (+233)3.13 (+213)
Rio Ave4.81 (+381)4.58 (+358)
Asian handicapSanta Clara -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)Santa Clara -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 2.06 (+106)O/U 2.25 · over 2.12 (+112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%28%43%57%Santa Clara 48%Draw 31%Rio Ave 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).