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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Fukuoka Softbank Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 235 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 235 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 50 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-131) and shortened to 1.63 (-160). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 55% → 60%, Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 45% → 40%. The run line held at Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before first pitch: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters went from 43% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.76 (-131)1.63 (-160)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters2.17 (+117)2.41 (+141)
run lineFukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 2.61 (+161)Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 2.38 (+138)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 1.67 (-149)O/U 6.5 · over 1.76 (-132)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
37%46%54%63%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 60%Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 40%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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