Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement
Sep 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 235 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 235 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 50 min before first pitch. Orix Buffaloes opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-127) and drifted to 1.94 (-106). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orix Buffaloes 54% → 50%, Saitama Seibu Lions 46% → 50%. The run line held at Orix Buffaloes -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before first pitch: Orix Buffaloes went from 53% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Orix Buffaloes | 1.79 (-127) | 1.94 (-106) |
| Saitama Seibu Lions | 2.13 (+113) | 1.94 (-106) |
| run line | Orix Buffaloes -1.5 · 2.68 (+168) | Orix Buffaloes -1.5 · 2.91 (+191) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.74 (-136) | O/U 6.5 · over 1.72 (-138) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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