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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Estrela da Amadora vs Braga — odds movement

Sep 10, 2026 · 7:15 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Braga opened as the favorite at 1.72 (-139) and shortened to 1.60 (-167). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estrela da Amadora 20% → 15%, draw 25% → 24%, Braga 55% → 60%. The Asian handicap moved from Estrela da Amadora +0.75 to Estrela da Amadora +1. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Estrela da Amadora	4.85 (+385)	6.22 (+522)
Draw	3.76 (+276)	3.98 (+298)
Braga	1.72 (-139)	1.60 (-167)
Asian handicap	Estrela da Amadora +0.75 · 1.91 (-110)	Estrela da Amadora +1 · 1.83 (-120)
Total	O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)	O/U 2.5 · over 2.08 (+108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · Estrela da Amadora

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

18:47 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.28 → 6.22
18:32 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.53 → 6.28
18:02 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.40 → 6.52
17:12 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.57 → 6.38
16:57 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.52 → 6.57
16:42 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.45 → 6.52
16:27 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.24 → 6.45
15:27 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.25 → 6.21
14:57 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.14 → 6.23
14:57 Total 2.25 → 2.5
14:22 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.07 → 6.14
14:07 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.14 → 6.07
13:37 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.09 → 6.14
13:37 Total 2.5 → 2.25
13:22 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 6.05 → 6.09
13:07 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.99 → 6.05
12:07 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.86 → 5.96
11:52 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.90 → 5.86
11:22 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.85 → 5.88
11:03 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.78 → 5.85
10:17 Asian handicap (Estrela da Amadora) +0.75 → +1
09:47 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.64 → 5.74
09:02 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.41 → 5.64
08:32 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.32 → 5.43
08:17 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.29 → 5.32
07:27 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.42 → 5.29
07:12 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.34 → 5.42
03:37 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.18 → 5.32
02:37 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 5.06 → 5.18
19:57 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 4.98 → 5.06
19:27 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 4.89 → 4.98
11:47 Estrela da Amadora moneyline 4.86 → 4.89

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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