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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Fukuoka Softbank Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines — odds movement

Sep 11, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 222 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 222 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 45 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.42 (-236) and shortened to 1.34 (-296). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 68% → 72%, Chiba Lotte Marines 32% → 28%. The run line held at Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 7.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before first pitch: Chiba Lotte Marines went from 30% to 28% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.42 (-236)1.34 (-296)
Chiba Lotte Marines3.02 (+202)3.48 (+248)
run lineFukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 1.85 (-117)Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 1.69 (-145)
TotalO/U 7.5 · over 1.94 (-106)O/U 7.5 · over 1.77 (-130)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%40%60%80%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 72%Chiba Lotte Marines 28%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (7.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).