Sep 12, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 313 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 313 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Porto opened as the favorite at 1.26 (-392) and shortened to 1.18 (-548). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Casa Pia 8% → 7%, draw 16% → 12%, Porto 75% → 81%. The Asian handicap moved from Casa Pia +1.5 to Casa Pia +1.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 10 h 25 min before kickoff: Porto went from 76% to 79% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Casa Pia
11.14 (+1014)
14.57 (+1357)
Draw
5.88 (+488)
7.83 (+683)
Porto
1.26 (-392)
1.18 (-548)
Asian handicap
Casa Pia +1.5 · 2.04 (+104)
Casa Pia +1.75 · 2.09 (+109)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Casa Pia
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera