Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama Bay Stars — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM JST · 180 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 180 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 15 min before first pitch. The favorite flipped: Hiroshima Toyo Carp opened favored at 1.82 (-122), but by the last snapshot Yokohama Bay Stars was the favorite at 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hiroshima Toyo Carp 53% → 49%, Yokohama Bay Stars 47% → 51%. The run line held at Hiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before first pitch: Hiroshima Toyo Carp went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 1.82 (-122) | 1.99 (-101) |
| Yokohama Bay Stars | 2.08 (+108) | 1.90 (-111) |
| run line | Hiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 · 3.05 (+205) | Hiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 · 3.34 (+234) |
| Total | O/U 6 · over 1.93 (-107) | O/U 6 · over 1.93 (-108) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).