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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama Bay Stars — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM JST · 180 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 180 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 15 min before first pitch. The favorite flipped: Hiroshima Toyo Carp opened favored at 1.82 (-122), but by the last snapshot Yokohama Bay Stars was the favorite at 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hiroshima Toyo Carp 53% → 49%, Yokohama Bay Stars 47% → 51%. The run line held at Hiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before first pitch: Hiroshima Toyo Carp went from 52% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hiroshima Toyo Carp1.82 (-122)1.99 (-101)
Yokohama Bay Stars2.08 (+108)1.90 (-111)
run lineHiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 · 3.05 (+205)Hiroshima Toyo Carp -1.5 · 3.34 (+234)
TotalO/U 6 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 6 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
45%48%52%55%Hiroshima Toyo Carp 49%Yokohama Bay Stars 51%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).