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Fukuoka Softbank Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM JST · 180 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 180 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 15 h 15 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.55 (-183) and shortened to 1.46 (-218). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 63% → 66%, Chiba Lotte Marines 37% → 34%. The run line held at Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 8. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before first pitch: Fukuoka Softbank Hawks went from 63% to 66% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.55 (-183)1.46 (-218)
Chiba Lotte Marines2.60 (+160)2.88 (+188)
run lineFukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 2.11 (+111)Fukuoka Softbank Hawks -1.5 · 1.91 (-110)
TotalO/U 8 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 8 · over 1.79 (-127)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%43%57%72%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 66%Chiba Lotte Marines 34%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (8)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).