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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Famalicao vs Sporting CP — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sporting CP opened as the favorite at 1.53 (-188) and drifted to 1.55 (-181). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Famalicao 18% → 15%, draw 21% → 23%, Sporting CP 62% → 62%. The Asian handicap held at Famalicao +1 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Sporting CP went from 66% to 62% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Famalicao	5.40 (+440)	6.31 (+531)
Draw	4.60 (+360)	4.26 (+326)
Sporting CP	1.53 (-188)	1.55 (-181)
Asian handicap	Famalicao +1 · 1.93 (-107)	Famalicao +1 · 1.94 (-106)
Total	O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101)	O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · Famalicao

Total (over/under)

Move timeline · UTC

19:12 Famalicao moneyline 6.15 → 6.31
18:42 Famalicao moneyline 6.98 → 6.14
18:42 Total 2.75 → 2.5
18:42 Asian handicap (Famalicao) +1.25 → +1
18:27 Famalicao moneyline 7.62 → 6.98
18:12 Famalicao moneyline 7.54 → 7.62
17:57 Famalicao moneyline 7.20 → 7.54
17:22 Famalicao moneyline 7.11 → 7.19
17:07 Famalicao moneyline 7.05 → 7.11
16:52 Famalicao moneyline 6.93 → 7.05
16:37 Famalicao moneyline 6.98 → 6.93
16:22 Famalicao moneyline 6.90 → 6.98
15:52 Famalicao moneyline 6.81 → 6.89
14:17 Famalicao moneyline 6.57 → 6.81
14:17 Asian handicap (Famalicao) +1 → +1.25
14:02 Famalicao moneyline 6.51 → 6.57
13:32 Famalicao moneyline 6.72 → 6.51
13:32 Asian handicap (Famalicao) +1.25 → +1
13:02 Famalicao moneyline 6.57 → 6.69
13:02 Asian handicap (Famalicao) +1 → +1.25
12:32 Famalicao moneyline 6.42 → 6.57
12:17 Famalicao moneyline 6.62 → 6.42
11:32 Famalicao moneyline 6.31 → 6.60
10:12 Total 2.5 → 2.75
09:27 Famalicao moneyline 6.16 → 6.22
08:42 Famalicao moneyline 6.25 → 6.16
08:07 Famalicao moneyline 6.41 → 6.22
07:37 Famalicao moneyline 6.23 → 6.39
07:22 Famalicao moneyline 5.97 → 6.23
07:07 Famalicao moneyline 5.88 → 5.97
06:52 Famalicao moneyline 5.56 → 5.88
05:52 Famalicao moneyline 5.66 → 5.56
05:37 Famalicao moneyline 5.78 → 5.66
04:32 Famalicao moneyline 5.80 → 5.77
04:17 Famalicao moneyline 5.83 → 5.80
04:17 Total 2.75 → 2.5
03:02 Famalicao moneyline 5.73 → 5.81
00:42 Famalicao moneyline 5.70 → 5.73
23:42 Famalicao moneyline 5.61 → 5.70
20:37 Famalicao moneyline 5.57 → 5.61
20:37 Total 2.5 → 2.75
19:37 Famalicao moneyline 5.51 → 5.57
19:37 Total 2.75 → 2.5
18:52 Famalicao moneyline 5.48 → 5.51
16:17 Famalicao moneyline 5.40 → 5.48
09:32 Famalicao moneyline 5.33 → 5.39
02:02 Famalicao moneyline 5.40 → 5.33

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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