Scan with your phone camera Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp — odds movement
Sep 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 152 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 152 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 12 h 55 min before first pitch. Hiroshima Toyo Carp opened as the favorite at 1.80 (-125) and shortened to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Yakult Swallows 46% → 44%, Hiroshima Toyo Carp 54% → 56%. The run line held at Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 6.5 to 7.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before first pitch: Tokyo Yakult Swallows went from 47% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 2.11 (+111) | 2.21 (+121) |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp | 1.80 (-125) | 1.74 (-136) |
| run line | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.60 (-168) | Tokyo Yakult Swallows +1.5 · 1.67 (-149) |
| Total | O/U 6.5 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 7.5 · over 1.88 (-114) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).