Sep 14, 2026 · 5:45 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Estrela da Amadora opened as the favorite at 2.57 (+157) and shortened to 2.55 (+155). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Rio Ave 33% → 33%, draw 30% → 29%, Estrela da Amadora 37% → 38%. The Asian handicap held at Rio Ave 0 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Estrela da Amadora went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Rio Ave
2.89 (+189)
2.98 (+198)
Draw
3.18 (+218)
3.29 (+229)
Estrela da Amadora
2.57 (+157)
2.55 (+155)
Asian handicap
Rio Ave 0 · 2.05 (+105)
Rio Ave 0 · 2.12 (+112)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 2.5 · over 2.08 (+108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera