Sep 14, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Braga opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-225) and shortened to 1.40 (-249). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Braga 65% → 69%, draw 21% → 21%, Estoril 14% → 11%. The Asian handicap held at Braga -1.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Braga went from 71% to 70% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Braga
1.44 (-225)
1.40 (-249)
Draw
4.58 (+358)
4.67 (+367)
Estoril
6.83 (+583)
9.02 (+802)
Asian handicap
Braga -1.25 · 2.06 (+106)
Braga -1.25 · 1.93 (-108)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.92 (-109)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Braga
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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