Sep 14, 2026 · 7:15 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Moreirense opened favored at 2.47 (+147), but by the last snapshot Maritimo was the favorite at 2.75 (+175). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Moreirense 39% → 35%, draw 30% → 30%, Maritimo 32% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Moreirense -0.25 to Moreirense 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 35 min before kickoff: Maritimo went from 33% to 35% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Moreirense
2.47 (+147)
2.80 (+180)
Draw
3.19 (+219)
3.20 (+220)
Maritimo
3.02 (+202)
2.75 (+175)
Asian handicap
Moreirense -0.25 · 2.11 (+111)
Moreirense 0 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 2.02 (+102)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.08 (+108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Moreirense
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)
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