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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Marines — odds movement

Sep 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 214 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 214 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 5 min before first pitch. Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters opened as the favorite at 1.42 (-239) and drifted to 1.49 (-205). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 68% → 65%, Chiba Lotte Marines 32% → 35%. The run line held at Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 8. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before first pitch: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters went from 68% to 65% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters1.42 (-239)1.49 (-205)
Chiba Lotte Marines3.04 (+204)2.78 (+178)
run lineHokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 1.85 (-117)Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 8 · over 2.08 (+108)O/U 8 · over 2.16 (+116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%42%58%75%Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 65%Chiba Lotte Marines 35%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (8)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).