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Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka Softbank Hawks — odds movement

Sep 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 214 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 214 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 5 min before first pitch. Fukuoka Softbank Hawks opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-250) and shortened to 1.32 (-312). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orix Buffaloes 31% → 27%, Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 69% → 73%. The run line held at Orix Buffaloes +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 7. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before first pitch: Orix Buffaloes went from 29% to 27% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orix Buffaloes3.13 (+213)3.60 (+260)
Fukuoka Softbank Hawks1.40 (-250)1.32 (-312)
run lineOrix Buffaloes +1.5 · 2.07 (+107)Orix Buffaloes +1.5 · 2.26 (+126)
TotalO/U 7 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 7 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%39%61%82%Orix Buffaloes 27%Fukuoka Softbank Hawks 73%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (7)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).