Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement
Sep 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 220 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch
How the odds moved
We recorded 220 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 35 min before first pitch. Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters opened as the favorite at 1.51 (-196) and drifted to 1.60 (-167). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 64% → 61%, Saitama Seibu Lions 36% → 39%. The run line held at Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 8.5 to 7.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before first pitch: Saitama Seibu Lions went from 35% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 1.51 (-196) | 1.60 (-167) |
| Saitama Seibu Lions | 2.70 (+170) | 2.47 (+147) |
| run line | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 2.03 (+103) | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 2.17 (+117) |
| Total | O/U 8.5 · over 2.23 (+123) | O/U 7.5 · over 1.93 (-107) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).