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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions — odds movement

Sep 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 220 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 220 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 35 min before first pitch. Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters opened as the favorite at 1.51 (-196) and drifted to 1.60 (-167). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 64% → 61%, Saitama Seibu Lions 36% → 39%. The run line held at Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 8.5 to 7.5. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before first pitch: Saitama Seibu Lions went from 35% to 39% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters1.51 (-196)1.60 (-167)
Saitama Seibu Lions2.70 (+170)2.47 (+147)
run lineHokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 2.03 (+103)Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters -1.5 · 2.17 (+117)
TotalO/U 8.5 · over 2.23 (+123)O/U 7.5 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
30%43%57%70%Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 61%Saitama Seibu Lions 39%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
7.58.58.5 → 7.5

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