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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Alverca vs Rio Ave — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Alverca opened as the favorite at 1.92 (-109) and shortened to 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alverca 50% → 53%, draw 27% → 26%, Rio Ave 23% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Alverca -0.5 to Alverca -0.75. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Alverca1.92 (-109)1.82 (-122)
Draw3.47 (+247)3.68 (+268)
Rio Ave4.13 (+313)4.66 (+366)
Asian handicapAlverca -0.5 · 1.93 (-108)Alverca -0.75 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.03 (+103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%30%44%59%Alverca 53%Draw 26%Rio Ave 21%
Asian handicap · Alverca
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).