Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings — odds movement
Sep 21, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 273 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 273 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 25 h 15 min before tip-off. Dallas Wings opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-241) and drifted to 1.43 (-231). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Phoenix Mercury 33% → 33%, Dallas Wings 67% → 67%. The spread held at Phoenix Mercury +6 the whole way. The total moved up from 173 to 174.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.93 (+193) | 2.93 (+193) |
| Dallas Wings | 1.41 (-241) | 1.43 (-231) |
| spread | Phoenix Mercury +6 · 1.92 (-109) | Phoenix Mercury +6 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 173 · over 1.88 (-114) | O/U 174.5 · over 1.91 (-110) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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