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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Portland Fire vs Golden State Valkyries — odds movement

Sep 22, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 255 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 255 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 40 min before tip-off. Golden State Valkyries opened as the favorite at 1.09 (-1156) and drifted to 1.11 (-903). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Portland Fire 11% → 13%, Golden State Valkyries 89% → 87%. The spread held at Portland Fire +14 the whole way. The total moved up from 157.5 to 158.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Portland Fire8.46 (+746)7.55 (+655)
Golden State Valkyries1.09 (-1156)1.11 (-903)
spreadPortland Fire +14 · 1.91 (-110)Portland Fire +14 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 157.5 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 158 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-3%32%68%103%Portland Fire 13%Golden State Valkyries 87%
spread · Portland Fire
+14+14.5+15+14 → +14
Total (over/under)
157157.5158158.5157.5 → 158

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).