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⚾ Baseball Nippon Professional Baseball Final

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants — odds movement

Sep 23, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 194 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 194 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 35 min before first pitch. Yomiuri Giants opened as the favorite at 1.84 (-119) and shortened to 1.72 (-139). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hiroshima Toyo Carp 47% → 44%, Yomiuri Giants 53% → 56%. The run line held at Hiroshima Toyo Carp +1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 7.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hiroshima Toyo Carp2.06 (+106)2.23 (+123)
Yomiuri Giants1.84 (-119)1.72 (-139)
run lineHiroshima Toyo Carp +1.5 · 1.57 (-175)Hiroshima Toyo Carp +1.5 · 1.67 (-149)
TotalO/U 7 · over 2.18 (+118)O/U 7 · over 2.25 (+125)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
41%47%53%59%Hiroshima Toyo Carp 44%Yomiuri Giants 56%
run line · no change in the recorded window (+1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (7)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).