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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo — odds movement

Sep 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · 165 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 165 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 16 h 15 min before tip-off. Connecticut Sun opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-132) and shortened to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Connecticut Sun 54% → 55%, Toronto Tempo 46% → 45%. The spread held at Connecticut Sun -2 the whole way. The total moved down from 169 to 168.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Connecticut Sun1.76 (-132)1.74 (-136)
Toronto Tempo2.09 (+109)2.16 (+116)
spreadConnecticut Sun -2 · 1.93 (-107)Connecticut Sun -2 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 169 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 168 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
42%47%53%58%Connecticut Sun 55%Toronto Tempo 45%
spread · no change in the recorded window (-2)
Total (over/under)
165.5166166.5167167.5168169 → 168

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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).