Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces — odds movement
Sep 24, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · 221 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off
How the odds moved
We recorded 221 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 5 min before tip-off. Las Vegas Aces opened as the favorite at 1.21 (-482) and drifted to 1.21 (-473). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Phoenix Mercury 21% → 20%, Las Vegas Aces 79% → 80%. The spread held at Phoenix Mercury +10 the whole way. The total stayed at 174.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Phoenix Mercury | 4.60 (+360) | 4.73 (+373) |
| Las Vegas Aces | 1.21 (-482) | 1.21 (-473) |
| spread | Phoenix Mercury +10 · 1.90 (-111) | Phoenix Mercury +10 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 174 · over 1.90 (-111) | O/U 174 · over 1.85 (-117) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).