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Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines — odds movement

Sep 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM JST · 224 snapshots, every 5 minutes until first pitch

How the odds moved

We recorded 224 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before first pitch. Saitama Seibu Lions opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-127) and shortened to 1.69 (-145). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Saitama Seibu Lions 54% → 58%, Chiba Lotte Marines 46% → 42%. The run line held at Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 6.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Saitama Seibu Lions1.79 (-127)1.69 (-145)
Chiba Lotte Marines2.13 (+113)2.29 (+129)
run lineSaitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.91 (+191)Saitama Seibu Lions -1.5 · 2.44 (+144)
TotalO/U 6.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 6.5 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
40%47%53%60%Saitama Seibu Lions 58%Chiba Lotte Marines 42%
run line · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (6.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).