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🏀 Basketball WNBA Final

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty — odds movement

Sep 27, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · 572 snapshots, every 5 minutes until tip-off

How the odds moved

We recorded 572 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 47 h 55 min before tip-off. Minnesota Lynx opened as the favorite at 1.38 (-260) and shortened to 1.36 (-276). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota Lynx 69% → 71%, New York Liberty 31% → 29%. The spread held at Minnesota Lynx -6.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 173.5 to 174.5. The sharpest single move came 16 h 55 min before tip-off: Minnesota Lynx went from 70% to 71% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota Lynx1.38 (-260)1.36 (-276)
New York Liberty3.07 (+207)3.28 (+228)
spreadMinnesota Lynx -6.5 · 1.90 (-111)Minnesota Lynx -6.5 · 1.85 (-117)
TotalO/U 173.5 · over 1.88 (-114)O/U 174.5 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%40%60%79%Minnesota Lynx 71%New York Liberty 29%
spread · Minnesota Lynx
-7.5-6.5-6.5 → -6.5
Total (over/under)
172.5173.5174.5173.5 → 174.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).